Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000623 0.000703 0.000793 0.000903 0.001033 0.001183 0.001374
2025-02-02 0.000500 0.000605 0.000735 0.000910 0.001144 0.001453 0.001907
2025-02-09 0.000434 0.000552 0.000708 0.000937 0.001275 0.001775 0.002615
2025-02-16 0.000387 0.000511 0.000686 0.000959 0.001396 0.002110 0.003473
2025-02-23 0.000356 0.000488 0.000680 0.000999 0.001548 0.002536 0.004691
2025-03-02 0.000326 0.000458 0.000659 0.001008 0.001650 0.002906 0.006005
2025-03-09 0.000296 0.000424 0.000625 0.000989 0.001693 0.003174 0.007257
2025-03-16 0.000275 0.000402 0.000607 0.000993 0.001779 0.003564 0.009125
2025-03-23 0.000258 0.000385 0.000595 0.001005 0.001886 0.004045 0.011719
2025-03-30 0.000246 0.000373 0.000591 0.001030 0.002026 0.004672 0.015580
2025-04-06 0.000232 0.000358 0.000577 0.001035 0.002121 0.005224 0.019964
2025-04-13 0.000225 0.000352 0.000581 0.001075 0.002313 0.006180 0.028321
2025-04-20 0.000206 0.000325 0.000543 0.001024 0.002268 0.006365 0.032811
2025-04-27 0.000195 0.000313 0.000533 0.001032 0.002390 0.007264 0.045915
2025-05-04 0.000188 0.000307 0.000532 0.001065 0.002598 0.008693 0.072270
2025-05-11 0.000181 0.000299 0.000529 0.001091 0.002796 0.010301 0.116780
2025-05-18 0.000176 0.000296 0.000535 0.001137 0.003085 0.012749 0.222493
2025-05-25 0.000169 0.000287 0.000527 0.001149 0.003257 0.014808 0.395052
2025-06-01 0.000160 0.000273 0.000507 0.001126 0.003294 0.016069 0.617554
2025-06-08 0.000153 0.000265 0.000498 0.001130 0.003443 0.018444 1.265162
2025-06-15 0.000148 0.000258 0.000493 0.001145 0.003645 0.021736 3.517861
2025-06-22 0.000144 0.000254 0.000493 0.001175 0.003930 0.026611 20.192445
2025-06-29 0.000139 0.000247 0.000485 0.001180 0.004111 0.031015 315.746793